Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.407072 0.445756 0.487094 0.534656 0.587993 0.646101 0.714387
2026-01-11 0.345265 0.399445 0.461366 0.537808 0.630236 0.739135 0.878264
2026-01-18 0.308497 0.370209 0.443999 0.539610 0.661492 0.813407 1.019840
2026-01-25 0.283342 0.350069 0.432800 0.544305 0.692813 0.886908 1.165025
2026-02-01 0.257272 0.325355 0.412267 0.533235 0.700285 0.927481 1.268112
2026-02-08 0.240891 0.311180 0.403342 0.535498 0.724301 0.990979 1.408669
2026-02-15 0.224822 0.295810 0.391078 0.531309 0.737778 1.039484 1.531245
2026-02-22 0.213011 0.285129 0.384052 0.533321 0.759530 1.101133 1.680129
2026-03-01 0.200044 0.271792 0.372098 0.526784 0.767268 1.141275 1.798071
2026-03-08 0.187980 0.258865 0.359687 0.518292 0.770740 1.174248 1.906889
2026-03-15 0.175090 0.243910 0.343256 0.502253 0.760563 1.183485 1.974470
2026-03-22 0.170393 0.240657 0.343905 0.512607 0.793598 1.267413 2.186741
2026-03-29 0.164875 0.235957 0.342207 0.519338 0.821632 1.346408 2.402678
2026-04-05 0.158898 0.230209 0.338514 0.522513 0.843841 1.417370 2.613495
2026-04-12 0.153097 0.224365 0.334236 0.524250 0.863437 1.485202 2.827446
2026-04-19 0.148351 0.219879 0.331787 0.528783 0.888224 1.565086 3.078667
2026-04-26 0.140848 0.210606 0.321013 0.518095 0.883989 1.587972 3.207620
2026-05-03 0.136432 0.206062 0.317731 0.520280 0.903945 1.660824 3.461437
2026-05-10 0.131144 0.199823 0.311252 0.516236 0.911490 1.708880 3.664164
2026-05-17 0.127305 0.195771 0.308215 0.518179 0.930776 1.783368 3.943709
2026-05-24 0.122263 0.189475 0.300993 0.511866 0.932961 1.821130 4.136233
2026-05-31 0.117217 0.182949 0.293045 0.503666 0.930590 1.848499 4.305988
2026-06-07 0.111273 0.174657 0.281622 0.488173 0.911914 1.837243 4.369283